林子旭：核心消亡的中共还能撑多久 [How Long Can a Gangster Organization
Last Without a Ringleader?]
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How Long Can a Gangster Organization Last Without a
The Chinese Communist Party is rudderless
It took six days before China’s Premier Wen Jiabao visited the site of the terrible Wenzhou
train crash. Looking at how he acted once he did show up, one senses that he was
keener on clearing his name than on consoling the people.
Wen was mainly
anxious to convey that neither he nor President Hu Jintao were the ones who
ordered the rescue operations be stopped and the train carriages buried. He
emphasized that he had ordered an effort to “save people.” But his speech was
guarded and lacked warmth or concern for people.
Confronted with an
unexpected disaster, neither China’s president nor premier could effectively
control the situation, nor could they hold accountable those responsible for the
accident. Even in trying to clarify their own positions, they have had to do so
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) of today is riddled with
various factions. Especially since the news of Jiang’s imminent death, the
entire CCP is rudderless and chaotic, with each faction wanting to do things its
Ever since the CCP seized power, there has always been a
ringleader, from Mao Zedong to Deng Xiaoping to Jiang Zemin.
Mao killed tens of millions, he remained in power until his death.
for his part, vowed he would eliminate two-hundred thousand human lives to gain
twenty years of stability and ordered the massacre of Tiananmen in 1989. Yet, he
could still firmly hold on to power.
Jiang completely ignored the
opposition of other members of the Central Committee of the CCP in launching a
campaign to “eradicate” the spiritual practice of Falun
Gong, but after his retirement he could still
interfere with the ability of Hu and Wen to govern.
The most important
thing for the stability of a gangster regime is to have a ruthless leader. Such
a leader must subdue all his men by brutal means and so centralize absolute
But take a look at today’s CCP: Jiang has become a mummy; Hu and
Wen are seemingly united but actually are not; chief legislator Wu Banguo is a
silent standby; the other top CCP leaders, including Jia Qinglin, Li Changchun,
and Zhou Yongkang, stick to Jiang’s way; CCP’s next-generation leader Xi Jinping
walks between all of the factions, expecting to gain the rule; even Bo Xilai,
having being sent to a remote province, is trying to catch attention.
The decentralization of the CCP’s power is imminent, because the
cooperation between these scattered forces is short-lived and unreliable. The
nature of these factions will ultimately lead them to fight each other. An error
of one faction will be taken advantage of by another leading to factions
attempting to devour one another.
The current situation opens up
possibilities for new developments.
Media people will answer to their
conscience and stand up to speak the truth; sincere lawyers will defend the just cause and the rights of
vulnerable groups; Falun Gong practitioners will spread the truth about the
persecution more freely and widely; and the people will fight for their basic
rights and interests more confidently.
Facing the entire nation’s
demands for justice, will the army and the police when confronting unarmed
people still allow themselves to be manipulated by the CCP? Will the Internet
police still work so hard to control public opinion in the face of an explosion
The CCP is now a sinking ship with no one to take the
helm. The main concerns of CCP officials today are how to gain more wealth before the shipwreck and to time abandoning
ship at the moment that still affords safety.
It will be no surprise if
the CCP were to fall apart soon, and the time has come to envisage a China freed
of the CCP.